Sámano vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 0
SAM
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 1
CUL
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SDT
1 - 0
SAM
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAY
37%
25%
39%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TEX
1 - 1
SAM
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
REV
0 - 2
ESC
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
REV
0 - 4
VEL
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 1
REV
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
REV
2 - 1
CUL
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SDT
3 - 2
REV
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |