Sámano vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
14º
8º
57
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAM
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
REV
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
SOL
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CUL
1 - 1
SAM
41%
25%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
SIE
45%
25%
31%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAY
1 - 0
SDT
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 2
CAY
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TEX
0 - 0
CAY
16%
22%
61%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAY
1 - 0
ESC
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 1
CAY
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |