Sámano vs CD Bezana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
7º
1º
34
4º
18º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 59 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 57 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 30 |
16º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 29 |
17º
|
43% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 17 |
18º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
40% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57.5% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 0
REV
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 0
LAR
45%
26%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
SAM
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 2
SAM
26%
24%
51%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CD Bezana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 4
BEZ
18%
21%
62%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BEZ
3 - 1
NAV
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 0
BEZ
23%
21%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
BEZ
1 - 0
CAY
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
BEZ
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |