San Gwann vs Vittoriosa Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
11º
3º
11
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 1
MGA
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAN
36%
24%
41%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 4
TAR
21%
22%
58%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ZUR
3 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 4
SWI
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vittoriosa Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLI
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 6
NAX
8%
16%
76%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 0
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 1
ATT
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
FUN
6 - 1
VIT
74%
16%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |