San Gwann vs Melita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
RAB
1 - 5
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 6
PIE
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MQA
1 - 0
SAN
37%
25%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
ZAB
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
SGC
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 2
QOR
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 2
ZEJ
23%
24%
54%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 1
MEL
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 2
ZEB
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
RAB
1 - 4
MEL
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |