San Gwann vs Marsaskala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
11º
3º
13
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FUN
1 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIJ
40%
23%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
5 - 0
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 1
SAN
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
PIE
0 - 2
SAN
52%
21%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
MQA
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MTA
2 - 2
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FUN
1 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |