Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2005 |
RAP
5 - 0
RBS
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
SVP
1 - 1
RBS
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
RBS
0 - 1
AUS
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
MAT
2 - 0
RBS
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 0
RBS
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
STR
2 - 0
SWB
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
WIN
2 - 0
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
STR
0 - 0
AUS
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
STR
1 - 1
RAP
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
AWM
1 - 1
STR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |