Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
AUS
2 - 0
RBS
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
RBS
4 - 2
AWM
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
RBS
4 - 2
SWB
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
RAP
0 - 0
RBS
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
RBS
0 - 0
WIN
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
STR
0 - 0
SWB
56%
22%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 1
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
STR
0 - 1
RAP
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 0
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
STR
1 - 0
AWM
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |