Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
TIR
2 - 0
RBS
48%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
RBS
0 - 0
RIE
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
GRA
1 - 1
RBS
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
RBS
3 - 1
AWM
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
RBS
1 - 1
SDL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
FEY
1 - 1
STR
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
GRA
2 - 0
STR
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
STR
3 - 0
TIR
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2000 |
STR
2 - 1
FEY
45%
24%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2000 |
HAP
1 - 2
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |