Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1990 |
RBS
2 - 1
VOR
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1990 |
VIE
3 - 2
RBS
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
RBS
1 - 2
LBN
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
RBS
0 - 1
SWA
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
SWA
3 - 0
RBS
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1990 |
SWA
4 - 1
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
STR
1 - 1
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
RAP
3 - 1
STR
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
VOR
1 - 3
STR
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
STR
3 - 4
VOR
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |