Salzburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
WIE
6 - 1
RBS
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
RBS
1 - 0
53%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1978 |
LIN
1 - 0
RBS
59%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
RBS
1 - 0
RAP
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1978 |
GRA
1 - 2
RBS
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
STR
0 - 3
AUS
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
MON
5 - 1
STR
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
SSW
1 - 1
STR
69%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1978 |
WIE
3 - 0
STR
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1978 |
STR
2 - 0
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |