Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 4-0
Salzburg vs Senica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 1
RBS
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
RBS
0 - 0
LIE
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
RBS
2 - 0
AUS
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 4
RBS
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
LEV
4 - 0
RBS
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Senica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SBR
3 - 2
SEN
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
SEN
3 - 0
TAT
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
SEN
2 - 0
ZMO
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
RUZ
3 - 2
SEN
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SEN
3 - 2
NIT
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |