Qualif. Champions 3ª Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Salzburg vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RIE
0 - 2
RBS
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
QAR
2 - 1
RBS
25%
23%
52%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
WIE
0 - 5
RBS
16%
21%
63%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
RBS
6 - 1
RAP
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
RBS
1 - 1
ING
91%
8%
2%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
QAR
2 - 1
RBS
25%
23%
52%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
QAR
4 - 0
VAL
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
QAR
49%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
VKP
1 - 3
QAR
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
KHA
2 - 1
QAR
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |