UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 7-3
Salzburg vs Nistru Otaci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2000 |
RBS
0 - 3
RAP
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
NIS
2 - 6
RBS
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
SCA
0 - 2
RBS
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
RBS
0 - 0
RAP
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2000 |
RBS
2 - 3
GRA
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nistru Otaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
NIS
2 - 6
RBS
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
NIS
1 - 0
CWM
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
CWM
0 - 1
NIS
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2000 |
NIS
1 - 2
SHF
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
GAZ
1 - 1
NIS
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |