Salzburg vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
RBS
0 - 0
LAS
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MAT
1 - 0
RBS
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
HAP
1 - 1
RBS
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
RBS
2 - 3
HAP
50%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
STP
1 - 4
RBS
7%
17%
76%
|
80 | 21 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
BBU
63%
21%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAC
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 0
TIM
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
MAC
3 - 0
LIV
42%
27%
32%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
TIM
0 - 1
MAC
27%
26%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |