Salzburg vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
RBS
2 - 1
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
RBS
1 - 1
AUS
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
MAC
3 - 0
RBS
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LAS
1 - 2
RBS
32%
28%
41%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
RBS
2 - 0
STR
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
LPO
1 - 1
JUV
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
KOR
0 - 0
LPO
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LPO
1 - 0
TSP
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LPO
2 - 0
GDA
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
LPO
2 - 2
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |