Salzburg vs Kapfenberger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 5
RBS
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
FCL
0 - 2
RBS
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +4 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RBS
5 - 0
AUS
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AWM
1 - 1
RBS
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
RAP
0 - 1
RBS
40%
24%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kapfenberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 2
KAP
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
KAP
2 - 2
LAS
22%
24%
55%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
KAP
59%
21%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
KAP
2 - 1
WAT
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
SCA
0 - 0
KAP
50%
24%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |