Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 5-4
Salzburg vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 3
RBS
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 6
RBS
11%
16%
73%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RBS
4 - 0
SHW
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
RBS
1 - 0
RIJ
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
RBS
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
TWE
0 - 0
S04
67%
19%
15%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 3
TWE
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 2
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 2
MHE
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
TWE
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |