Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 4-4
Salzburg vs F91 Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
STR
0 - 2
RBS
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
F91
1 - 0
RBS
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
WIE
0 - 2
RBS
9%
18%
73%
|
82 | 32 | 50 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
RBS
3 - 0
RIE
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
RBS
2 - 0
AWM
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
F91
1 - 0
RBS
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
TPE
0 - 4
F91
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
F91
7 - 0
TPE
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
F91
4 - 2
JEU
58%
20%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
F91
1 - 1
FOL
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |