Europa League 1/16
Global 2-2
Salzburg vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
2 - 0
RBS
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
RBS
0 - 1
GRA
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
GRA
3 - 1
RBS
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
ADA
2 - 0
RBS
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
WAC
0 - 0
RBS
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1976 |
CRV
4 - 1
LPL
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1976 |
LPL
2 - 1
CRV
51%
23%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
HSV
4 - 0
CRV
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
CRV
1 - 1
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
CRV
1 - 1
FCU
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |