Champions League Last 16
Global 2-8
Salzburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.8%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
87.6%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
13%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.3%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14.4%
0-5
6.6%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.7%
0-6
3.5%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.4%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
RAP
1 - 2
RBS
42%
24%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
RBS
3 - 1
LAS
90%
7%
3%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
RBS
3 - 0
SVL
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
RBS
1 - 2
AWM
76%
15%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
RBS
3 - 1
RIE
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RTV
4 - 2
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
96 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BYM
3 - 2
RBL
75%
15%
10%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
HER
1 - 4
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
KOL
0 - 4
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 2
MON
83%
12%
6%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |