Europa League 1/16
Global 6-1
Salzburg vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RBS
6 - 1
AWM
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 3
RBS
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
STR
1 - 4
RBS
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
RBS
6 - 0
GRO
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
WIE
1 - 5
RBS
19%
23%
58%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 3
RBS
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |