Salzburg U19 vs Derby County U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
OPO
1 - 1
RBS
56%
21%
24%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
RBS
2 - 3
LIV
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
GNK
0 - 2
RBS
13%
18%
70%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
NAP
1 - 5
RBS
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
RBS
7 - 2
NAP
81%
13%
7%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
DER
3 - 1
BOR
24%
19%
57%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
DER
4 - 1
IAA
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
IAA
1 - 2
DER
48%
22%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
DER
7 - 2
FCM
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
FCM
0 - 2
DER
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |