Salthill Devon vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salthill Devon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 2
ATH
31%
25%
43%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
WEX
3 - 0
SAL
70%
18%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
MER
23%
23%
55%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LON
2 - 1
SAL
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
FIN
1 - 0
SAL
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
SHE
0 - 3
STP
19%
27%
54%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
STP
0 - 0
SHR
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
DRO
1 - 2
STP
40%
27%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
CAO
0 - 2
STP
31%
29%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
STP
1 - 1
BOH
64%
23%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |