SalPa vs TPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
8º
6º
39
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 58 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 47 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 22 |
9º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SalPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 1
PK3
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KOO
6 - 0
SAL
64%
22%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 1
KER
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TPS
2 - 3
SAL
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 1
FFJ
35%
25%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
JIP
2 - 0
TPS
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TPS
4 - 0
JAP
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
KOO
1 - 2
TPS
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TPS
2 - 3
SAL
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KAP
0 - 0
TPS
19%
25%
57%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |