SalPa vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SalPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
PII
1 - 1
SAL
39%
26%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FCJ
1 - 3
SAL
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 2
BK4
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
5 - 1
TPS
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 1
MUS
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ILV
2 - 2
LPA
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ILV
2 - 1
FCJ
62%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
IKI
0 - 7
ILV
15%
19%
66%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AIF
0 - 1
ILV
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ILV
3 - 0
JAP
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |