Salisbury City vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
RUS
0 - 2
SAL
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
EBB
2 - 2
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAM
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
SAL
2 - 2
GUL
28%
27%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 1
SAL
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
KID
1 - 0
HAY
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
KID
0 - 1
KET
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
STE
3 - 1
KID
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
HIS
1 - 1
KID
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
KID
2 - 1
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |