Salisbury City vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAL
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SIT
2 - 1
SAL
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 0
WEY
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 0
SAL
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 1
WEL
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FAR
0 - 1
HEM
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
BAT
1 - 0
FAR
30%
25%
46%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
FAR
0 - 0
HAM
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MAI
4 - 0
FAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GUL
2 - 0
FAR
49%
23%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |