SC Salgueiros vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
2º
25
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAL
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
CAS
75%
18%
8%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
SAL
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAL
13%
20%
68%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 2
REB
17%
21%
63%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 2
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
VAL
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 2
RES
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |