SC Salgueiros vs Guarda Desportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
2º
10
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 1
SAL
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
GON
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
5 - 2
SAL
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
LEC
41%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 2
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guarda Desportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 3
GUA
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
REB
84%
11%
6%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALP
0 - 0
GUA
8%
14%
78%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
6 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |