SC Salgueiros vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
13º
1º
7
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COI
0 - 3
SAL
20%
21%
60%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 3
ADM
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 1
SAL
20%
19%
61%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 0
UNI
70%
17%
12%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 2
VIZ
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 0
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GON
0 - 3
CIN
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CIN
0 - 4
FAR
8%
17%
75%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
REB
1 - 2
CIN
29%
23%
47%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MOI
2 - 3
CIN
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |