Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 2-4
SC Salgueiros vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
60.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1962 |
SAL
1 - 1
SPC
59%
20%
21%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
OLH
2 - 0
SAL
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
SAL
0 - 3
BEL
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
SAL
0 - 4
LEX
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
SCP
6 - 0
SAL
81%
12%
7%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
SLB
8 - 0
VAR
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 5
SLB
16%
20%
64%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
SLB
2 - 1
FAB
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 3
SLB
11%
19%
71%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
SLB
2 - 2
SCP
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |