Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 5-11
SC Salgueiros vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
59.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
14 - 1
SAL
93%
5%
2%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
SAL
0 - 6
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
49 | 87 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SAL
4 - 7
EST
37%
23%
40%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SAL
2 - 1
ACA
42%
21%
37%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
SCP
8 - 2
SAL
96%
3%
1%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
SLB
5 - 0
VIT
95%
4%
2%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
SAL
0 - 6
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SLB
7 - 2
VST
86%
9%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SLB
7 - 2
FCP
79%
11%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
OLH
1 - 3
SLB
26%
20%
54%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |