SC Salgueiros vs AD Marco 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+3506%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
13º
1º
6
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 1
SAL
20%
19%
61%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 0
UNI
70%
17%
12%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 2
VIZ
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 1
SAL
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
LEX
1 - 1
SAL
15%
21%
65%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 2
ADM
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 1
REB
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 2
ADM
48%
27%
26%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ADM
3 - 0
VSC
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 4
ODO
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |