Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-13
SC Salgueiros vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
ACA
6 - 2
SAL
75%
13%
12%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
SAL
3 - 5
VST
51%
21%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
VIT
2 - 1
SAL
64%
18%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
OLH
5 - 1
SAL
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
BEL
5 - 1
SAL
89%
7%
4%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
ACA
6 - 2
SAL
75%
13%
12%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
ACA
3 - 9
VST
67%
16%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 5
ACA
65%
17%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 4
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |