Salgueiro vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
SAL
24%
28%
49%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAL
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
3 - 0
MOT
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 3
SPO
12%
21%
67%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 0
PIA
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
SAL
24%
28%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 2
SER
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
4 - 0
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
3 - 0
SAN
10%
21%
69%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |