Salgueiro vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 1
COR
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAL
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 3
AFO
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
3 - 1
SAL
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 3
CEA
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
SER
2 - 2
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
COR
0 - 4
SER
59%
21%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AFP
1 - 0
SER
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
CON
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 3
MOT
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |