Salgueiro vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
60.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
CEN
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 2
SAL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PET
0 - 1
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 2
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
5 - 1
SAL
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
LIN
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COR
1 - 2
SAO
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
6 - 1
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 0
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |