Pernambucano 1 Eliminatorias Final
Global 1-1
Salgueiro vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 0
AFO
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
NAU
20%
24%
57%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAL
15%
23%
61%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
SED
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPO
8%
18%
74%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 1
SAN
13%
21%
66%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
SED
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |