Salgueiro vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
SAL
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 0
NAU
23%
24%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAL
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAB
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
YPI
58%
21%
20%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 3
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
4 - 1
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |