Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Salgueiro vs Plácido de Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAL
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 2
SCI
10%
21%
69%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAL
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAL
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
PLA
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
GUR
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
PLA
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |