Série C Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Salgueiro vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALE
0 - 2
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 0
CRB
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 1
CAM
32%
27%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
SAL
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SAL
0 - 3
ABC
19%
25%
57%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 1
PAY
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAO
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 1
PAY
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PAY
1 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAY
23%
24%
54%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |