Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 1
SAL
75%
18%
8%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 0
SAL
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 0
SAN
22%
26%
53%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 1
SAL
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
SER
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
NAU
21%
27%
53%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 0
MOT
73%
18%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 2
CEN
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
NAU
3 - 3
PIA
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |