Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
SAL
26%
25%
50%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
SPO
16%
22%
63%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
SAL
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
CEN
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 3
SAL
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
YPI
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
4 - 3
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
AME
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 1
NAU
11%
18%
71%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |