Salgueiro vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
CRI
18%
23%
60%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAL
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAL
4 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
SAL
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 0
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
INT
1 - 0
GUR
42%
25%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 1
INT
65%
20%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
GUR
3 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 3
GUR
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
GUR
1 - 1
PAL
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |