Salgueiro vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
49.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAO
15%
25%
60%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
CEN
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 2
SAL
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PET
0 - 1
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 2
CRI
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
DUQ
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 1
COT
19%
22%
60%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 0
DUQ
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
COT
4 - 0
DUQ
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |