Salgueiro vs Atlético Cajazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
3 - 0
AFO
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
NAU
20%
24%
57%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAL
15%
23%
61%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cajazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
GLO
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
ATL
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 0
ATL
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
SPC
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 0
CSP
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |