Salgueiro vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
SAL
29%
26%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
SAL
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
YPI
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 2
SAL
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
NAU
13%
19%
68%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
YPI
2 - 0
AME
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
YPI
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
PET
0 - 0
AME
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
54%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -2 |