Salgueiro vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAL
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 1
POR
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAL
5 - 1
ACA
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
YPI
0 - 0
SAL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
PET
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CAB
37%
25%
37%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 2
AME
67%
21%
13%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
SPO
10%
18%
72%
|
30 | 71 | 41 | 0 |