Salgueiro vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAL
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 0
CAB
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
VCR
0 - 0
SAL
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
SAL
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 1
ACA
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALE
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
ALE
0 - 1
ABC
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ALE
3 - 2
ACD
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
ALE
1 - 2
POT
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ALE
2 - 3
COR
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |